PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

10gwei

0xd85098cba036a409690d829367632ccb949059db

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$156.4k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$468.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.7740.425$468.55$384.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-29 16:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?SELL0.006$3.00
04-28 13:02US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.003$7.50
04-24 12:59Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.001$1.00
04-24 12:58Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?BUY0.001$5.00
04-17 08:17Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?SELL0.033$3.30
04-17 08:13US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?SELL0.08$3.20
04-15 21:58Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?SELL0.0275589253$14.18
04-15 21:57Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?SELL0.0295090956$94.00
04-13 14:34Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?SELL0.1$60.00
04-12 08:23US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?SELL0.996$99.60
04-08 15:49US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.003$10.20
04-06 08:52Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on April 6?BUY0.14$0.61
04-01 08:55EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.001$5.00
03-24 16:01Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?SELL0.06$18.00
03-24 16:00Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.013$6.50