PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jason6666

0xd850621267dd9313d0c8264d0a402966e371b459

Realised P&L
$201.22
Volume
$140.4k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$239.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration93.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.8600.685$185.55−$47.40
Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.4550.026$19.63−$323.92
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8290.105$17.72−$122.26
GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch · No0.9200.810$17.01−$2.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 06:39Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.571$61.58
08-09 12:46Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.977$82.00
08-09 12:44Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.978$28.79
08-09 12:43Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9841476108$113.28
08-09 12:42Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.976$124.70
07-20 00:10Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.984$103.32
07-20 00:09Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?SELL0.999$102.12
07-20 00:08Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.995$121.44
07-20 00:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.996$129.73
07-20 00:07Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$123.08
07-11 04:34Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9901759387$113.97
07-11 04:26Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.987$106.48
07-09 23:04Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.981$125.34
07-09 23:01Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.99$133.10
07-08 02:06Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.985$111.67