jason6666
0xd850621267dd9313d0c8264d0a402966e371b459
- Realised P&L
- $201.22
- Volume
- $140.4k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $239.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.685 | $185.55 | −$47.40 |
| Ostium FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.455 | 0.026 | $19.63 | −$323.92 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.829 | 0.105 | $17.72 | −$122.26 |
| GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch · No | 0.920 | 0.810 | $17.01 | −$2.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$710.47at 0.565Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$75.86at 0.710Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$38.35at 0.498Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
- +$18.13at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?
- +$17.49at 0.350Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 06:39 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.571 | $61.58 |
| 08-09 12:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.977 | $82.00 |
| 08-09 12:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $28.79 |
| 08-09 12:43 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9841476108 | $113.28 |
| 08-09 12:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $124.70 |
| 07-20 00:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.984 | $103.32 |
| 07-20 00:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | SELL | 0.999 | $102.12 |
| 07-20 00:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.995 | $121.44 |
| 07-20 00:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $129.73 |
| 07-20 00:07 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $123.08 |
| 07-11 04:34 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9901759387 | $113.97 |
| 07-11 04:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $106.48 |
| 07-09 23:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $125.34 |
| 07-09 23:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $133.10 |
| 07-08 02:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $111.67 |