PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Strarper

0xd849fbe04a3b6d4861ad1b0bd6be7b75679459d6

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$957.5k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3650.245$1.2k−$575.63
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2750.075$660.85−$1.8k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.9440.000$0.00−$238.83
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$822.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 18:21Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.96$192.00
10-22 17:27Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.997$55.83
10-20 16:54Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.973$4.9k
10-19 10:47Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.999$1.4k
10-18 16:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 20?BUY0.998$4.99
10-18 16:38Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on October 20?BUY0.999$14.98
10-15 14:50Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.999$5.6k
10-11 17:57Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.999$11.3k
10-10 09:48Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.998$5.3k
10-10 09:48Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.998$568.96
10-06 13:57Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.995$320.39
10-06 12:11Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.999$4.0k
08-18 18:39Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.28$9.80
08-05 21:45Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$78.00
08-05 21:34Will Russia enter Dobropillia by October 31?BUY0.68$20.40