0xD846ea45b1E712fF41EC1c20c0A19F37a052E24a-1781766218183
0xd846ea45b1e712ff41ec1c20c0a19f37a052e24a
- Realised P&L
- $279.82
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $409.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$614.43at 0.078Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 09:16 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.0816628103 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 12:58 | Penguins vs. Avalanche | BUY | 0.6444525796 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 07:17 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.4361914216 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 08:51 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.3149999994 | $200.00 |
| 08-04 12:48 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0453960097 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 09:20 | Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? | BUY | 0.0462156126 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 07:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.2890365392 | $30.00 |
| 07-02 07:09 | Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.0975127742 | $30.00 |
| 06-30 11:04 | Will Canada be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.2327454535 | $75.25 |
| 06-18 08:44 | Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 U.S. Open? | BUY | 0.0449999957 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 08:42 | Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 08:42 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 08:19 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | BUY | 0.3728245844 | $50.00 |
| 06-18 08:09 | Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.1047618959 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 07:33 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0750433 | $50.00 |