PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xD846ea45b1E712fF41EC1c20c0A19F37a052E24a-1781766218183

0xd846ea45b1e712ff41ec1c20c0a19f37a052e24a

Realised P&L
$279.82
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$409.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3150.457$289.84+$89.84
Penguins vs. Avalanche · Avalanche0.6440.655$101.64+$1.64
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? · Yes0.0820.073$18.00−$2.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.2890.000$0.00−$30.00
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? · Yes0.3730.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29? · Yes0.4360.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.0980.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Canada be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.2330.000$0.00−$75.25
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match? · No0.1050.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 09:16Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?BUY0.0816628103$20.00
10-12 12:58Penguins vs. AvalancheBUY0.6444525796$100.00
09-29 07:17Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?BUY0.4361914216$20.00
08-14 08:51Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3149999994$200.00
08-04 12:48Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.0453960097$30.00
07-14 09:20Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?BUY0.0462156126$50.00
07-02 07:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.2890365392$30.00
07-02 07:09Will Belgium be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?BUY0.0975127742$30.00
06-30 11:04Will Canada be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.2327454535$75.25
06-18 08:44Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.0449999957$10.00
06-18 08:42Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
06-18 08:42Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open?BUY0.1399999888$10.00
06-18 08:19Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?BUY0.3728245844$50.00
06-18 08:09Will the announcers say "Visa" during the Czechia vs South Africa FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.1047618959$10.00
06-18 07:33Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0750433$50.00