0xD842F0366A2A824807a5b7811eD79C5DBF34F18D-1776822444065
0xd842f0366a2a824807a5b7811ed79c5dbf34f18d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.48
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $13.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? · Yes | 0.256 | 0.480 | $13.44 | +$6.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.11at 0.875Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?
- +$-0.15at 0.246Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
- +$-1.00at 0.130Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?
- +$-1.56at 0.048Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?
- +$-1.56at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-23 10:24 | Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte? | BUY | 0.2564522942 | $7.18 |
| 05-16 17:57 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.01 |
| 05-15 15:24 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k? | BUY | 0.2369998402 | $1.09 |
| 04-23 01:04 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.875 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 01:04 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 01:00 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0148623798 | $4.22 |
| 04-23 00:43 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0402874463 | $8.44 |
| 04-23 00:29 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0514907533 | $4.44 |
| 04-23 00:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $0.98 |
| 04-23 00:09 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.871 | $5.44 |
| 04-22 23:30 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8759998533 | $5.47 |
| 04-22 23:18 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0252848861 | $5.00 |
| 04-22 23:05 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0477326969 | $10.00 |