Andyhudson10145
0xd8419854f819b48b072fc67b1ac10cd99755a05c
- Realised P&L
- $41.92
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $155.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.322 | 0.285 | $93.02 | −$11.98 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.130 | $17.21 | −$2.79 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.105 | $16.20 | −$3.80 |
| Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.290 | $13.84 | −$7.16 |
| Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.087 | $9.73 | −$10.27 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.024 | $5.20 | −$46.80 |
| Browns vs. Steelers · Browns | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.77at 0.129NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
- +$0.72at 0.520Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
- +$0.00at 0.290Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$-0.08at 0.650Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$-2.50at 0.260NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:36 | Will Cilliers Brink be the next mayor of Tshwane? | BUY | 0.4399999975 | $21.00 |
| 11-01 18:35 | Will Herman Mashaba be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | BUY | 0.1788123095 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 18:33 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027? | BUY | 0.129629629 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 18:33 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1510773705 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 18:29 | Browns vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 19:31 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 19:30 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.92 |
| 10-26 19:29 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.649999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 19:32 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999996 | $52.00 |
| 10-23 19:32 | Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | SELL | 0.5267146439 | $56.72 |
| 10-23 10:06 | Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg? | BUY | 0.5199999985 | $56.00 |
| 10-23 10:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.29 | $56.00 |
| 10-23 10:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2899999989 | $56.00 |
| 10-23 10:01 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 09:59 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $155.77 |