Vote1OneNation
0xd840ec120b2d8167898f5e13548f95944da1c8b3
- Realised P&L
- $-94.96
- Volume
- $33.1k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $40.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.680 | $40.57 | +$0.00 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election? · No | 0.436 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$261.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.16at 0.673Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?
- +$70.00at 0.310Trump positive favorability on inauguration day?
- +$46.16at 0.190Will Trump issue 25-29 executive orders on Day 1?
- +$41.00at 0.290Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$24.81at 0.576Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 11:38 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | SELL | 0.029 | $29.00 |
| 07-30 11:31 | Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.03 | $30.00 |
| 03-03 01:41 | Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election? | BUY | 0.62 | $62.00 |
| 01-21 02:41 | Will Trump issue 35-39 executive orders on Day 1? | SELL | 0.044 | $6.60 |
| 01-20 22:19 | Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1? | SELL | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 01-20 08:58 | Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 01-20 08:56 | Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1? | BUY | 0.63 | $189.00 |
| 01-18 05:33 | Obama divorce in 2025? | SELL | 0.9 | $96.55 |
| 01-18 05:25 | Obama divorce in 2025? | BUY | 0.9099999923 | $97.63 |
| 01-18 05:24 | Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days? | SELL | 0.968792959 | $97.14 |
| 01-16 07:33 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | SELL | 0.71 | $34.58 |
| 01-16 07:14 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | SELL | 0.74 | $115.44 |
| 01-16 07:11 | Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1? | SELL | 0.75 | $75.00 |
| 01-16 05:54 | Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days? | BUY | 0.9739999936 | $97.67 |
| 01-15 22:02 | Will Tanya Plibersek be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election? | SELL | 0.995 | $59.70 |