PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Vote1OneNation

0xd840ec120b2d8167898f5e13548f95944da1c8b3

Realised P&L
$-94.96
Volume
$33.1k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$40.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will One Nation win the third-most seats in the next Victorian state election? · Yes0.6800.680$40.57+$0.00
Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election? · No0.4360.000$0.00−$261.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 11:38Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?SELL0.029$29.00
07-30 11:31Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.03$30.00
03-03 01:41Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?BUY0.62$62.00
01-21 02:41Will Trump issue 35-39 executive orders on Day 1?SELL0.044$6.60
01-20 22:19Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?SELL0.07$7.00
01-20 08:58Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?BUY0.17$17.00
01-20 08:56Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?BUY0.63$189.00
01-18 05:33Obama divorce in 2025?SELL0.9$96.55
01-18 05:25Obama divorce in 2025?BUY0.9099999923$97.63
01-18 05:24Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?SELL0.968792959$97.14
01-16 07:33Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?SELL0.71$34.58
01-16 07:14Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?SELL0.74$115.44
01-16 07:11Will Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?SELL0.75$75.00
01-16 05:54Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?BUY0.9739999936$97.67
01-15 22:02Will Tanya Plibersek be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?SELL0.995$59.70