abellll
0xd83d9ee3e67fdee23ac8ec024ea57be2d7243bd8
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $2.19M
- Markets traded
- 1,805
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,805
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.970 | 1.000 | $1.5k | +$45.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.659Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$559.13at 0.896Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$238.00at 0.962Will England win on 2026-09-26?
- +$223.62at 0.963Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01?
- +$204.31at 0.954Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 17:51 | Will Estonia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.9807566823 | $1.6k |
| 10-03 17:50 | Will Estonia win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.1k |
| 10-03 09:50 | Will Tochigi City FC win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 10-03 08:47 | Will Kataller Toyama win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.94 | $55.46 |
| 10-02 20:38 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9880385915 | $2.1k |
| 10-02 20:37 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 20:36 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 20:36 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9238049638 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 15:51 | Will Moldova win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9699999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 15:50 | Will Moldova win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9599999969 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 15:50 | Will Moldova win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9599999969 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 15:50 | Will Moldova win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9399999976 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 15:50 | Will Moldova win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 15:49 | Will Moldova win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 15:49 | Will Moldova win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $100.00 |