uyybf
0xd83bf6f789bf4726d887b78be6b66cbf070614f4
- Realised P&L
- $-161.49
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $124.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $59.97 | −$0.03 |
| StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? · No | 0.994 | 0.993 | $57.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.995 | 0.984 | $6.92 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.76at 0.627Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.04at 0.829Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$2.68at 0.986Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
- +$2.30at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
- +$2.12at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 14:04 | Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $60.00 |
| 10-16 14:03 | StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.994 | $58.00 |
| 09-09 13:36 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $38.00 |
| 09-09 13:35 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 13:33 | Will Solana reach $200 in September? | BUY | 0.9939999991 | $55.00 |
| 08-12 10:43 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.00 |
| 08-12 10:42 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $124.00 |
| 07-20 06:56 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9759999935 | $12.00 |
| 07-20 06:53 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $142.00 |
| 06-30 06:46 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.00 |
| 06-10 12:35 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 06-10 12:34 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $504.00 |
| 05-26 13:18 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on May 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 05-17 14:23 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $12.00 |
| 05-10 09:09 | Will Solana dip to $10 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $528.00 |