0xd83b83Cd92AAf0d20234Ab573845Bf948893da3d-1761278020589
0xd83b83cd92aaf0d20234ab573845bf948893da3d
- Realised P&L
- $-499.48
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $51.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.018 | $51.23 | −$25.12 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.652 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.47at 0.760Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$12.22at 0.450Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$7.86at 0.560Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
- +$7.54at 0.570Will England win on 2026-06-17?
- +$6.39at 0.610Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 15:47 | Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0275696547 | $76.35 |
| 07-05 12:02 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 12:01 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 11:15 | Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 07-04 11:15 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 08:54 | Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 08:54 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.6099999994 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 08:54 | Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 06:57 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 06:57 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6519999906 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 14:37 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 14:36 | Will England win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 14:36 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.86 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 12:07 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 06-22 12:07 | Will France win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |