PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd83b83Cd92AAf0d20234Ab573845Bf948893da3d-1761278020589

0xd83b83cd92aaf0d20234ab573845bf948893da3d

Realised P&L
$-499.48
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$51.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0280.018$51.23$25.12
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6520.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$100.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$60.00
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$100.00
Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-28 15:47Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0275696547$76.35
07-05 12:02Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.299999982$10.00
07-05 12:01Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
07-04 11:15Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.5599999776$10.00
07-04 11:15Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.8399999966$10.00
06-26 08:54Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
06-26 08:54Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.6099999994$10.00
06-26 08:54Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.2$10.00
06-25 06:57Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
06-25 06:57Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.6519999906$10.00
06-23 14:37Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.6599999842$10.00
06-23 14:36Will England win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
06-23 14:36Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.86$10.00
06-22 12:07Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.4499999797$10.00
06-22 12:07Will France win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.91$10.00