8570eF0BB7A2Be07D53F
0xd83365c9d7300f108570ef0bb7a2be07d53fdf12
- Realised P&L
- $-6.0k
- Volume
- $25.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $887.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-23.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.257 | 0.045 | $571.50 | −$2.7k |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.230 | 0.145 | $252.30 | −$147.90 |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.541 | 0.115 | $63.29 | −$234.38 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes | 0.271 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.8k |
| Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$131.81 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-22 05:21 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.23 | $3.56 |
| 01-22 05:16 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $15.14 |
| 01-22 05:10 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $464.34 |
| 01-16 04:21 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.1k |
| 01-15 00:27 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.96 |
| 01-15 00:08 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.229223685 | $354.68 |
| 01-15 00:06 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2117579 | $423.52 |
| 12-04 23:15 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.23 | $400.20 |
| 12-03 04:12 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.54 | $12.46 |
| 11-30 00:12 | Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.72 | $72.00 |
| 11-29 15:09 | Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.81 |
| 11-29 15:01 | Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 11-29 15:00 | Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 11-29 14:56 | Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3437506121 | $100.00 |
| 11-22 16:30 | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BUY | 0.2899761758 | $800.00 |