PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

8570eF0BB7A2Be07D53F

0xd83365c9d7300f108570ef0bb7a2be07d53fdf12

Realised P&L
$-6.0k
Volume
$25.7k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$887.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-23.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration64.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2570.045$571.50$2.7k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.2300.145$252.30$147.90
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · Yes0.5410.115$63.29$234.38
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00$2.8k
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? · No0.3450.000$0.00$131.81

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-22 05:21Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.23$3.56
01-22 05:16Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.22$15.14
01-22 05:10Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.36$464.34
01-16 04:21Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.21$1.1k
01-15 00:27Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.24$6.96
01-15 00:08Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.229223685$354.68
01-15 00:06Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2117579$423.52
12-04 23:15Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.23$400.20
12-03 04:12Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.54$12.46
11-30 00:12Fannie Mae IPO before 2027?BUY0.72$72.00
11-29 15:09Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.35$1.81
11-29 15:01Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
11-29 15:00Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
11-29 14:56Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.3437506121$100.00
11-22 16:30Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?BUY0.2899761758$800.00