PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD833063caD0dDa98D2fDc652c975328F6f0E6aE8-1777223508853

0xd833063cad0dda98d2fdc652c975328f6f0e6ae8

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$83.4k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration86.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bengals vs. Steelers · Bengals0.6400.635$2.0k$15.63
Spread: Bengals (-4.5) · Bengals0.4700.455$1.5k$47.87
Spread: Bills (-6.5) · Bills0.5500.555$1.0k+$9.09
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$4.0k
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$500.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$990.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 06:03Spread: Bills (-6.5)BUY0.5499999998$1000.00
09-22 05:58Bengals vs. SteelersBUY0.64$2.0k
09-22 05:58Spread: Bengals (-4.5)BUY0.47$1.5k
06-14 18:14Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.2599999999$990.65
06-13 21:55Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.59$1.1k
06-13 08:51Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.079$2.0k
06-13 00:51Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.4799999999$1.1k
06-08 23:09Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$1.4k
06-05 15:11Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0479954567$500.00
04-26 17:15Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.089$2.0k