whatsup2
0xd82fb326217d473b444b070920cfe2813996906a
- Realised P&L
- $-0.53
- Volume
- $101.7k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $57.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $15.00 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.575 | $14.38 | +$3.13 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.645 | $12.90 | −$1.90 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No | 0.964 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.28 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November? · No | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.95 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? · 90k | 0.386 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November? · No | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.20at 0.317Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.45at 0.662Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.21at 0.991Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$5.42at 0.523Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$4.18at 0.760Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 18:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-22 18:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 09-22 18:53 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 09-22 18:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $13.37 |
| 08-24 21:04 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in August? | BUY | 0.994 | $13.92 |
| 08-24 21:03 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.97 |
| 08-24 21:03 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.94 |
| 08-24 21:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $8.91 |
| 06-04 13:19 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.91 |
| 06-04 13:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3020424242 | $9.97 |
| 06-04 13:17 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in June? | BUY | 0.99 | $37.63 |
| 06-04 13:17 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $54.78 |
| 06-04 13:16 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 06-04 13:16 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $14.69 |
| 05-09 15:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? | BUY | 0.991 | $14.87 |