0xD82Fa630449F3243c3543478f2e837eA1f39aba0-1765456741498
0xd82fa630449f3243c3543478f2e837ea1f39aba0
- Realised P&L
- $-568.29
- Volume
- $37.2k
- Markets traded
- 830
- Open portfolio
- $63.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded830
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$154.52at 0.312Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$135.71at 0.140Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
- +$118.44at 0.667Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
- +$100.93at 0.866Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$95.69at 0.580Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:37 | Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 20:42 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 20:42 | Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 20:41 | Will Real Cundinamarca win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 20:41 | Will Real Cartagena FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3599999938 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 20:34 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 19:13 | Will CA Central Norte Salta win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 19:11 | Will AD Tarma vs. CD Garcilaso end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 19:11 | Will CD La Serena vs. O'Higgins FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 19:10 | Will Galatasaray Istanbul vs. Stade Rennais FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 16:23 | Will NK Varaždin win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3099999855 | $12.00 |
| 08-02 16:23 | Will Union Espanola win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3699999661 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 16:22 | Will Deportes Magallanes win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 16:21 | Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 16:21 | Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |