0xD82Fa630449F3243c3543478f2e837eA1f39aba0-1765456741498
0xd82fa630449f3243c3543478f2e837ea1f39aba0
- Realised P&L
- $-452.33
- Volume
- $47.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,121
- Open portfolio
- $8.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,121
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.11at 0.323Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$134.42at 0.144Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
- +$100.93at 0.866Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$93.80at 0.587Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$88.92at 0.407Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 10:31 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8979999605 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 14:35 | Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 09-13 00:44 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 00:44 | Will Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.699999916 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 19:07 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 14:50 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 02:42 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.119999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 03:50 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 03:49 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 03:48 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 03:47 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 20:34 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-26 14:25 | Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 14:23 | Will Qizilqum Zarafshon vs. PFC Nasaf end in a draw? | BUY | 0.729999958 | $4.00 |
| 08-26 14:04 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |