0xd82c2e4fe2e75321ef2bbe2017bfce0585f087a6
- Realised P&L
- $-127.86
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $105.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes | 0.492 | 0.208 | $105.92 | −$144.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.22at 0.074Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 21:51 | Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | BUY | 0.4920998148 | $250.00 |
| 04-22 19:24 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.079 | $256.22 |
| 04-16 20:23 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.074 | $115.00 |
| 04-16 12:53 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0739999995 | $125.00 |