PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd8294055f7f4f0c7Bcd2b9e5eC9Cb302B01f95f9-1760063824441

0xd8294055f7f4f0c7bcd2b9e5ec9cb302b01f95f9

Realised P&L
$-10.7k
Volume
$184.4k
Markets traded
86
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded86
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-14? · Yes0.6001.000$500.00+$200.00
Will NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw? · Yes0.2641.000$500.00+$368.00
Will FC Volendam vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw? · Yes0.1801.000$464.86+$381.18
Will NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw? · Yes0.2601.000$400.00+$296.00
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29? · No0.7701.000$173.24+$39.85
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1100.004$50.05$1.5k
Will PVV win 27–29 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00$660.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 10PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00$10.00
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-02-08? · Yes0.2780.000$0.00$250.00
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes0.1910.000$0.00$2.6k
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00$109.28
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · No0.3400.000$0.00$339.97
Real Betis Balompié vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5 · Over0.2400.000$0.00$0.95
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22? · Yes0.2770.000$0.00$4.4k
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? · No0.5340.000$0.00$128.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 05:09MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 23-29?BUY0.77$116.66
05-10 13:12Will AZ win on 2026-05-10?BUY0.27$270.00
05-03 06:52Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?BUY0.21$210.00
05-03 06:52Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-05-03?BUY0.1654354167$397.05
04-25 14:04Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?BUY0.23$14.26
04-12 14:08Will NEC win on 2026-04-12?BUY0.07$140.00
04-12 14:03Will NEC win on 2026-04-12?BUY0.09$90.00
04-12 13:03Will NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?BUY0.26$78.00
04-12 13:02Will NEC win on 2026-04-12?BUY0.2494911937$254.98
03-17 01:55Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?BUY0.3$5.75
03-16 09:28Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?BUY0.29$290.00
03-16 09:25Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?BUY0.29$580.00
03-15 14:57Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-03-15?BUY0.03$2.22
03-13 05:27Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-03-15?BUY0.11$33.00
03-08 12:08Will NAC Breda vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam end in a draw?BUY0.26$104.00