clutx
0xd8248bf73a78e21531f3d780dcae3d4d8da1ab29
- Realised P&L
- $-358.99
- Volume
- $263.3k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $936.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.830 | $829.99 | +$20.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.591 | 0.548 | $82.27 | −$6.38 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.242 | $24.20 | +$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$502.46at 0.870Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$200.00at 0.957Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$170.00at 0.347LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$161.66at 0.823Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?
- +$161.34at 0.600Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 03:55 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $7.91 |
| 10-28 12:23 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6393977456 | $182.65 |
| 10-28 12:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $339.13 |
| 10-25 08:15 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5509999996 | $68.63 |
| 10-23 14:30 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.5899999996 | $193.90 |
| 10-23 14:26 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.5879422015 | $100.00 |
| 04-06 22:43 | Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines | SELL | 0.26 | $14.7k |
| 03-23 12:47 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0901207 | $90.12 |
| 03-23 12:03 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6696266189 | $3.7k |
| 03-13 01:53 | Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.827748559 | $395.19 |
| 03-13 01:52 | Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? | SELL | 0.988 | $395.19 |
| 12-12 23:42 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.869608676 | $2.0k |
| 11-09 09:15 | LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.99 | $2.0k |
| 11-09 09:14 | LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.97 | $2.0k |
| 11-05 15:02 | Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $2.4k |