0xd8213bfd42a0653b51cf32e972962bc8a9c8e883
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $20.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.295 | $20.01 | +$1.33 |
| Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean · Leolia Jeanjean | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.29 |
| Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.07 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? · Up | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.42 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.69 |
| Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.66 |
| Sharks vs. Maple Leafs · Sharks | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.64at 0.500Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series?
- +$89.46at 0.500Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$84.49at 0.500Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$42.99at 0.218Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)
- +$20.79at 0.500Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:44 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.28 | $10.36 |
| 10-31 09:43 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.32 |
| 10-19 11:34 | Sharks vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.44 | $26.40 |
| 09-19 01:48 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.61 | $20.74 |
| 08-26 12:21 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.998 | $47.94 |
| 08-26 12:20 | Spread: Viking FK (-1.5) | BUY | 0.21 | $11.55 |
| 08-26 12:18 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 08-26 12:18 | Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.00 |
| 08-13 12:03 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17? | BUY | 0.41 | $10.66 |
| 08-06 05:53 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? | BUY | 0.63 | $21.42 |
| 07-24 09:36 | Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.51 | $9.69 |
| 07-10 07:06 | Will Switzerland reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.264 | $6.07 |
| 06-16 06:09 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.52 | $16.69 |
| 05-25 11:34 | Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean | BUY | 0.53 | $19.29 |
| 04-20 06:01 | Will Rafael Leao be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season? | SELL | 0.998 | $17.96 |