PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

busyman

0xd81170a660e82a772415820abcd5dd415d66102d

Realised P&L
$-206.95
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
673
Open portfolio
$4.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded673
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.5700.565$0.99$0.01
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.5000.495$0.99$0.01
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.2800.275$0.98$0.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.7400.725$0.98$0.02
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.2200.215$0.98$0.02
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$1.00
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$2.00
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? · Yes0.5820.000$0.00$3.00
Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$1.00
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-10? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$1.00
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$3.00
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$2.00
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 10:48Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-20 10:47Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.74$1.00
09-20 10:47Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-20 10:42Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-20 10:41Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.5$1.00
09-19 17:00Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-19 16:58Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-19 16:58Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-19 16:57Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-13 17:19Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?SELL0.13$0.52
09-13 17:06Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?SELL0.07$0.70
09-13 17:00SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 12.5 Total CornersSELL0.02$0.07
09-13 16:59Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.13$0.42
09-13 12:49SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total CornersBUY0.6699999163$2.00
09-13 12:49Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?BUY0.1$1.00