busyman
0xd81170a660e82a772415820abcd5dd415d66102d
- Realised P&L
- $-206.95
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 673
- Open portfolio
- $4.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded673
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.94at 0.475Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?
- +$32.24at 0.199Will England vs. India end in a draw?
- +$24.10at 0.240Will England win?
- +$19.74at 0.340Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?
- +$19.65at 0.540Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 10:48 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 10:47 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 10:47 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 10:42 | Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 10:41 | Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 17:00 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 16:58 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 16:58 | Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 16:57 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 17:19 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.52 |
| 09-13 17:06 | Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.70 |
| 09-13 17:00 | SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 12.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.02 | $0.07 |
| 09-13 16:59 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.42 |
| 09-13 12:49 | SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 12:49 | Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |