PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hgfrfj

0xd810ce3c9450d093a4d7f6be843a05bf83cd34db

Realised P&L
$1.42
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$2.47

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0050.001$1.38−$12.41
Will "Hate That I Made You Love Me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 24? · No0.9990.998$1.09−$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 10:43Will "Hate That I Made You Love Me - Ariana Grande" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 24?BUY0.999$1.09
09-15 06:12Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$1.03
09-04 16:25Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.999$1.19
08-27 14:23Washington Mystics vs. Phoenix MercuryBUY0.6299997754$1.01
07-02 21:52Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.4249998878$1.42
06-09 19:20Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?BUY0.9909999971$1.03
06-09 19:15Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?BUY0.998$1.08
06-09 19:12Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.996$1.04
06-09 19:12Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.99799901$1.00
06-09 19:12SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?BUY0.9789999883$1.00
06-09 19:12SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?BUY0.9909999971$1.03
06-09 19:11Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.999$1.04
06-09 19:11Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.999$1.00
06-09 19:11Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.999$1.02
06-09 19:10Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.998$1.00