DAREK8U
0xd80cd4d5f6d44f65b6806de988d4e1c153f06b5e
- Realised P&L
- $-76.36
- Volume
- $27.0k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $8.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.180 | $3.60 | +$1.80 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.719 | 0.160 | $2.22 | −$7.78 |
| Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.066 | $1.31 | −$1.67 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.061 | $1.09 | −$3.91 |
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven · Rico | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Counter-Strike: SNARKY vs SSSghoul (BO3) - UKIC Masters Division Playoffs · SNARKY | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.35 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) · Khamzat Chimaev | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spain to score first vs. Portugal? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.83at 0.603Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$6.95at 0.590Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?
- +$4.93at 0.670Solana above $200 on February 21?
- +$4.76at 0.630Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$3.29at 0.680Timberwolves vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 16:41 | Spain to score first vs. Portugal? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 16:38 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 22:50 | Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |
| 05-30 16:23 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 05-23 21:03 | Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 05-08 15:10 | UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.8199999672 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 15:10 | UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 20:32 | Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | BUY | 0.9959999637 | $10.00 |
| 05-03 20:31 | No one announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 03-25 17:53 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27? | BUY | 0.5899999947 | $10.00 |
| 03-25 17:51 | Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season? | SELL | 0.979 | $8.19 |
| 03-19 19:37 | Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 02-16 09:14 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7192799948 | $10.00 |
| 02-16 09:13 | Will Harry Kane be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 Bundesliga season? | BUY | 0.954999997 | $8.00 |
| 01-04 10:07 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.001 | $18.00 |