dramma
0xd8048524ca3dbc5d2cf0dade261e6e92a6ec5b35
- Realised P&L
- $40.02
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $394.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $400 in October? · No | 0.990 | 0.992 | $251.91 | +$0.51 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? · No | 0.989 | 0.989 | $39.56 | +$0.00 |
| Will XRP reach $3.20 in October? · No | 0.994 | 0.998 | $36.51 | +$0.13 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in October? · No | 0.991 | 0.983 | $27.51 | −$0.24 |
| Will BNB reach $1,100 in October? · No | 0.990 | 0.984 | $19.68 | −$0.12 |
| Will BNB dip to $500 in October? · No | 0.970 | 0.965 | $19.30 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.972Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.00at 0.988Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in August?
- +$2.80at 0.969Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
- +$2.57at 0.955Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$2.31at 0.981Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 13:53 | Will XRP reach $3.20 in October? | BUY | 0.994 | $36.38 |
| 10-11 13:53 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in October? | BUY | 0.991 | $27.75 |
| 10-11 13:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? | BUY | 0.989 | $39.56 |
| 10-11 13:50 | Will BNB dip to $500 in October? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 10-11 13:50 | Will BNB reach $1,100 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 10-01 15:08 | Will BNB dip to $400 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $251.40 |
| 09-21 20:54 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $145.21 |
| 09-21 20:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | SELL | 0.952 | $145.73 |
| 09-17 12:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9889999945 | $151.40 |
| 09-17 12:19 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9719999852 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 12:19 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.971 | $9.13 |
| 09-17 12:18 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.978 | $71.89 |
| 09-17 12:18 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9891818182 | $108.81 |
| 09-10 14:32 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $18.97 |
| 09-10 14:31 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $24.40 |