PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Manhohoho

0xd800d6f7b67ba44fd88d098fea9277a0cdcfc256

Realised P&L
$-5.1k
Volume
$829.2k
Markets traded
969
Open portfolio
$4.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded969
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? · No0.9300.895$1.4k−$55.79
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? · No0.8900.865$1.4k−$41.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? · No0.9400.915$818.01−$22.35
Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October? · No0.9540.955$663.73+$0.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? · No0.8560.885$191.08+$6.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:18Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?BUY0.96$283.20
10-01 08:18Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?BUY0.95$38.00
10-01 08:18Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?BUY0.95$342.00
10-01 08:16Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.87$56.25
10-01 08:16Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.86$4.30
10-01 08:16Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?BUY0.93$1.5k
10-01 08:15Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October?BUY0.89$1.5k
10-01 08:15Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?BUY0.85$124.32
10-01 08:15Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?BUY0.94$840.36
09-25 16:06Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.8983057006$80.84
09-25 16:06Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.961$144.15
09-25 16:06Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?BUY0.96$144.00
09-25 16:04Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?BUY0.902$27.06
09-23 14:58Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?SELL0.981$210.83
09-23 14:57Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?SELL0.981$1.7k