0xd7fd119fe82cdef2f98a91075a8ff3841447dae3
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $408.9k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$409.35at 0.506US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$302.19at 0.290Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$279.06at 0.357Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?
- +$195.36at 0.472US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
- +$185.71at 0.396US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 19:37 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6501037534 | $639.12 |
| 08-27 17:38 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $165.05 |
| 08-27 17:38 | Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0044557865 | $145.65 |
| 08-27 17:38 | Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0044059681 | $145.65 |
| 08-26 10:44 | Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.7719751256 | $442.56 |
| 08-21 20:48 | Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6481839886 | $200.00 |
| 08-21 20:41 | Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5666188376 | $150.00 |
| 08-21 19:53 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3480710237 | $342.19 |
| 08-21 19:23 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.19 |
| 08-21 19:17 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? | BUY | 0.0899999676 | $2.39 |
| 08-21 18:24 | Exact Score: Arsenal FC 0 - 0 Coventry City FC? | BUY | 0.0410000006 | $3.33 |
| 08-21 18:15 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? | BUY | 0.1899999769 | $6.24 |
| 08-19 21:03 | Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.2199999922 | $19.24 |
| 08-19 18:18 | Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.3089346989 | $14.50 |
| 08-19 18:10 | Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul | BUY | 0.3399999849 | $13.55 |