0xd7fd119fe82cdef2f98a91075a8ff3841447dae3
0xd7fd119fe82cdef2f98a91075a8ff3841447dae3
- Realised P&L
- $933.09
- Volume
- $420.5k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$409.35at 0.506US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$302.19at 0.290Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
- +$279.06at 0.357Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?
- +$195.36at 0.472US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?
- +$185.71at 0.396US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 20:04 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.29 | $253.60 |
| 10-27 13:21 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2 | $174.90 |
| 10-24 09:45 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | SELL | 0.59 | $405.40 |
| 10-23 19:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $86.09 |
| 10-23 19:36 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | SELL | 0.2502801709 | $178.66 |
| 10-21 15:27 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.48 | $329.82 |
| 10-21 15:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1299999998 | $69.95 |
| 10-21 15:25 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.21 | $149.91 |
| 10-03 14:06 | Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0368301334 | $4.77 |
| 10-03 13:28 | Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0292921059 | $95.37 |
| 10-02 21:12 | Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0254584772 | $23.84 |
| 10-02 14:03 | Will Brazil win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.031 | $52.45 |
| 09-07 19:37 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6501037534 | $639.12 |
| 08-27 17:38 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $165.05 |
| 08-27 17:38 | Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0044557865 | $145.65 |