AnonSequitur
0xd7ee835cecd49a3f4c0f0c2b2e2382092ecb0e97
- Realised P&L
- $-29.5k
- Volume
- $2.24M
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $11.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.583US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$5.6kat 0.841Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?
- +$1.9kat 0.822US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.859Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
- +$1.3kat 0.876Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 13:09 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $49.98 |
| 10-03 12:57 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $50.05 |
| 10-02 14:12 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.609999999 | $107.15 |
| 10-02 14:11 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7? | BUY | 0.9199999945 | $107.15 |
| 10-02 14:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | BUY | 0.619999999 | $142.80 |
| 10-02 14:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.5551293119 | $158.20 |
| 10-01 18:47 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.2399999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 18:38 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $25.09 |
| 10-01 18:37 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $77.04 |
| 10-01 18:36 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $26.59 |
| 10-01 14:23 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999998 | $596.83 |
| 10-01 14:20 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.94 | $55.64 |
| 10-01 14:20 | Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? | BUY | 0.9399999997 | $59.32 |
| 10-01 14:19 | Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $46.87 |
| 10-01 14:17 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9019607737 | $10.00 |