0xd7ea3ee07a74856675191f0fa1d9a45cbbf7b684
0xd7ea3ee07a74856675191f0fa1d9a45cbbf7b684
- Realised P&L
- $97.51
- Volume
- $8.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.004 | $5.41 | +$1.81 |
| Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $1.40 | −$4.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.90at 0.167Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.25at 0.006Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$-3.88at 0.003Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$-3.88at 0.004Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?
- +$-3.88at 0.020Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:47 | Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.60 |
| 09-16 12:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.007 | $6.13 |
| 08-11 00:00 | Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.0029999992 | $3.61 |
| 08-10 23:53 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.02 | $3.86 |
| 08-10 23:53 | Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0029999992 | $3.86 |
| 08-10 23:52 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? | BUY | 0.004 | $3.86 |
| 08-10 23:51 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.006 | $5.25 |
| 07-19 22:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $131.53 |
| 06-15 01:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1619999945 | $21.33 |