0xd7e8807c33aaf570e09e94ce02a3aa793feb9633
- Realised P&L
- $-2.62
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $0.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 18? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 30? · No | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 19? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.72at 0.583Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 28?
- +$0.54at 0.656Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$0.13at 0.883Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on August 27?
- +$0.07at 0.934Bitcoin above 80,000 on August 27, 1PM ET?
- +$0.04at 0.961Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 16:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |
| 08-29 05:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 05:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on August 29? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 04:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.9559999694 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 04:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 29? | BUY | 0.949999525 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 04:12 | Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 20:30 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in August? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 20:03 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 20:02 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 20:01 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 19:45 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 28, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 19:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9549999952 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 19:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 18:31 | Solana Up or Down - August 28, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |