PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Aeghtny

0xd7e6e71885a177881af724a65ddb96ae5ec40484

Realised P&L
$-19.68
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$7.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)17.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4? · No0.9950.994$7.25−$0.01
Celtics vs. Hawks · Hawks0.4100.000$0.00−$12.00
Nets vs. Celtics · Nets0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 07:20Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.9949999198$7.26
07-13 02:16Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?BUY0.9979999143$8.55
06-15 09:09Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?BUY0.999$6.34
06-15 09:06Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.992$8.89
05-26 02:50Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9929999998$8.90
04-23 06:17Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?BUY0.998$7.35
04-14 07:14Will Solana dip to $60 April 13-19?BUY0.997$7.36
03-14 05:41Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.998$14.67
03-03 02:13Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.999$14.69
02-27 09:01Nets vs. CelticsBUY0.1$1.00
01-19 05:15Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.973$52.69
01-17 08:20Celtics vs. HawksBUY0.4099999894$12.00
01-17 08:17Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.991$316.26
01-17 05:50Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.992$316.58
01-17 05:44Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?SELL0.996$376.02