PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

x0y12a78b55zx8ya32nb8n7m9r

0xd7c731ec388099b2d65f1201e80a2fb721a0d14f

Realised P&L
$9.14
Volume
$741.36
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$20.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes0.0360.075$7.50+$3.90
Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes0.0390.069$6.85+$2.95
Will Olivia Rodrigo appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes0.0370.061$6.10+$2.40
Will Sabrina Carpenter appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes0.0810.089$0.45+$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:55Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027?SELL0.79$137.52
11-01 21:55Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028?SELL0.29$51.95
10-31 23:17Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027?SELL0.7836864407$184.95
10-31 23:13Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7495$299.80
10-31 23:08Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028?SELL0.32$6.40
10-31 23:00Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028?SELL0.3430195096$153.32
10-31 22:36Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028?BUY0.39$1.95
10-31 22:36Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028?BUY0.3180984424$204.22
10-31 03:52Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?SELL0.2985645769$8.72
10-31 03:33Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?SELL0.3314285714$29.00
10-31 03:02Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3000889218$8.10
10-31 02:53Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?BUY0.3$30.00
10-31 02:52Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?BUY0.24$11.52
10-31 02:50Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?BUY0.23$4.60
10-31 02:50Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2$4.00