x0y12a78b55zx8ya32nb8n7m9r
0xd7c731ec388099b2d65f1201e80a2fb721a0d14f
- Realised P&L
- $9.14
- Volume
- $741.36
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $20.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dua Lipa appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.075 | $7.50 | +$3.90 |
| Will Harry Styles appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.069 | $6.85 | +$2.95 |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.061 | $6.10 | +$2.40 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.089 | $0.45 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.07at 0.173Court finds BBC liable for defaming Trump?
- +$30.99at 0.273Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026?
- +$24.15at 0.135Elon Musk meets with Putin by March 31, 2027?
- +$16.05at 0.047Will Taylor Swift appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
- +$14.56at 0.751Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:55 | Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.79 | $137.52 |
| 11-01 21:55 | Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028? | SELL | 0.29 | $51.95 |
| 10-31 23:17 | Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.7836864407 | $184.95 |
| 10-31 23:13 | Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7495 | $299.80 |
| 10-31 23:08 | Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-31 23:00 | Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028? | SELL | 0.3430195096 | $153.32 |
| 10-31 22:36 | Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 10-31 22:36 | Brazil's top courts strike down oil export tax by June 30, 2028? | BUY | 0.3180984424 | $204.22 |
| 10-31 03:52 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2985645769 | $8.72 |
| 10-31 03:33 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.3314285714 | $29.00 |
| 10-31 03:02 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3000889218 | $8.10 |
| 10-31 02:53 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 02:52 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $11.52 |
| 10-31 02:50 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 10-31 02:50 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.00 |