Rambo777
0xd7c5040dc681c3a9d991389908794f5637faa855
- Realised P&L
- $-683.93
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $299.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.029 | $185.94 | −$444.37 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.011 | $54.62 | −$165.57 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 1.000 | $35.71 | +$25.71 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.009 | $22.97 | −$77.02 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Up | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.23 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? · Yes | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.56 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET · Up | 0.331 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.10 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.20at 0.521Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
- +$0.47at 0.260Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
- +$-0.13at 0.360Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$-0.35at 0.086Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$-2.50at 0.160Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 22:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0369999977 | $15.00 |
| 04-23 22:10 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $17.50 |
| 04-22 06:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0491287894 | $25.00 |
| 04-22 06:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? | SELL | 0.0750769396 | $24.39 |
| 04-16 19:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0472620595 | $66.00 |
| 04-16 19:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | SELL | 0.33 | $68.81 |
| 04-16 18:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0369999993 | $50.00 |
| 04-15 23:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.036999999 | $35.00 |
| 04-15 23:11 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.085 | $29.65 |
| 04-15 23:10 | Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | SELL | 0.2846645866 | $5.47 |
| 04-15 23:10 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $11.45 |
| 04-15 23:08 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April? | SELL | 0.049 | $18.24 |
| 04-15 23:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.043 | $30.10 |
| 04-15 23:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $150.31 |
| 04-15 23:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.042 | $52.40 |