PolyBot

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Traders

Orollnik

0xd7c32f23cc8b0116d93b5adfe4577bd402930964

Realised P&L
$289.15
Volume
$2.9k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$36.08

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar10.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Raptors vs. Knicks · Raptors0.4080.355$17.40−$2.60
Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv · Maccabi Tel Aviv0.2600.255$9.81−$0.19
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3100.275$8.87−$1.13
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00−$1.00
Fenerbahce vs. Virtus Bologna · Virtus Bologna0.1830.000$0.00−$5.00
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv · Maccabi Tel Aviv0.6400.000$0.00−$40.00
Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit & Noam Run on Same List? · Yes0.1830.000$0.00−$5.00
Thunder vs. Hawks · Thunder0.3000.000$0.00−$20.00
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes0.1750.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 22? · Yes0.2160.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 18:03Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3099999954$10.00
10-14 18:01Pistons vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.4$20.00
10-14 18:00Valencia vs. Maccabi Tel AvivBUY0.2599999964$10.00
10-12 07:52Raptors vs. KnicksBUY0.4079398974$20.00
10-12 07:51Thunder vs. HawksBUY0.3000533285$20.00
10-12 07:44Valencia vs. Olympiacos B.C.BUY0.6173300444$40.00
09-24 06:41ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Maccabi Tel AvivBUY0.64$40.00
09-24 06:40Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. FC Bayern MunchenBUY0.2599999964$10.00
09-24 06:40Fenerbahce vs. Virtus BolognaBUY0.1833799791$5.00
09-05 11:52Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit & Noam Run on Same List?BUY0.1826922782$5.00
09-05 11:45Israel Election: Yashar & Together Run on Same List?BUY0.0687569653$10.00
09-02 05:25Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?BUY0.3799999833$10.00
08-28 04:52Jordan vs. PhilippinesBUY0.5$20.00
08-22 07:01Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on August 22?BUY0.2157592811$10.00
08-11 20:36Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?BUY0.2$10.00