0xd7bfe6f6fcede251756a44bd284a286043a703d0
0xd7bfe6f6fcede251756a44bd284a286043a703d0
- Realised P&L
- $12.00
- Volume
- $257.49
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $14.24
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.26at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$3.72at 0.218Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
- +$3.35at 0.379Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?
- +$3.31at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?
- +$2.81at 0.270Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 02:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 18:20 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 10:18 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $990 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 10:18 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 01:40 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:35 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 07:41 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 22:35 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 14:10 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 06:01 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:29 | Will Trump say "Failing Country" or "Failing Nation" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:47 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 20:15 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? | BUY | 0.2469999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |