PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9836d5A2DB5978ACC57CD04166215d9Bb5AF2653-1776281600673

0xd7b600efb45aad336f143cba6110bbbad60f6eba

Realised P&L
$-20.85
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
123
Open portfolio
$0.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded123
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Argentina dollarize by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.053$0.53$0.57
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2900.345$0.34+$0.06
Will Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1400.075$0.07$0.06
Set 1 Winner: Sierra vs Gauff · Sierra0.2700.000$0.00$1.35
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B · Team Orange Gaming0.1900.000$0.00$0.95
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$0.92
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$0.11
Set 1 Winner: Seidel vs Snigur · Seidel0.3000.000$0.00$1.80
Exact Score: Morocco 0 - 0 Haiti? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$2.00
Aalesunds FK leading at halftime? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$0.56
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Morocco? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$0.16
Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$0.09
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.60
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 18:28Will Jonathan Taylor finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?SELL0.12$1.80
08-02 18:28U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?SELL0.11$1.54
08-02 18:28Will the season series between the Chiefs and Raiders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.36$1.80
08-02 18:28Will Xavier McKinney finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?SELL0.09$1.62
08-02 18:28Will Denver Broncos finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?SELL0.16$1.76
07-24 16:59Will Jonathan Taylor finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage touchdowns?BUY0.13$1.95
07-24 16:43Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 end of July?SELL0.251$1.25
07-24 16:38Will Apple (AAPL) close above $340 end of July?BUY0.379$1.90
07-24 15:48U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.14$1.96
07-24 14:51Will the season series between the Chiefs and Raiders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?BUY0.38$1.90
07-24 14:36Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5SELL0.45$2.25
07-24 14:35Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5BUY0.46$2.30
07-24 14:08Will Xavier McKinney finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?BUY0.11$1.98
07-24 14:02Will Denver Broncos finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most sacks?BUY0.17$1.87
07-24 13:26Will Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?SELL0.091$1.36