0xd799F86047F37D28D69a177709F6D132561024B2-1772888968913
0xd799f86047f37d28d69a177709f6d132561024b2
- Realised P&L
- $-164.38
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $907.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yes | 0.627 | 0.620 | $593.04 | −$6.96 |
| Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.931 | $276.82 | −$10.18 |
| Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.450 | $38.09 | −$8.46 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.343 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.57at 0.280Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$-5.10at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-134.85at 0.128Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 18:56 | Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch? | BUY | 0.5499999988 | $46.55 |
| 08-19 02:38 | Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? | BUY | 0.9657600773 | $287.00 |
| 08-18 04:36 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $113.74 |
| 08-08 18:24 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $50.00 |
| 07-28 02:40 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999983 | $100.00 |
| 07-27 14:36 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.8058097859 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 20:41 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1163762736 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 16:07 | Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999997 | $400.00 |
| 07-21 02:14 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999988 | $91.95 |
| 07-20 21:37 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1200357651 | $91.08 |
| 07-03 02:40 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.342999991 | $16.95 |
| 07-03 02:02 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.123 | $17.60 |
| 05-04 03:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1529999866 | $11.34 |
| 04-29 19:55 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.33 | $11.94 |
| 03-19 17:01 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2799999834 | $10.13 |