Ninalinda
0xd7856ecb74072b0340b3db5a66f62b900a95b5b7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $586.4k
- Markets traded
- 290
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded290
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.08at 0.410Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
- +$167.21at 0.145Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$157.50at 0.650Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?
- +$93.07at 0.230Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$92.75at 0.080Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:32 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.010999999 | $11.52 |
| 08-01 13:51 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $5.36 |
| 07-31 11:39 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.025 | $8.59 |
| 07-31 01:55 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.024 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 21:25 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.86 |
| 07-30 20:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 20:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 20:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $15.90 |
| 07-30 20:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 13:17 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $88.94 |
| 07-30 10:49 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.20 |
| 07-30 01:53 | Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.004 | $37.01 |
| 07-28 23:30 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $34.87 |