Billy2025
0xd77ba3d17771e8eab33e062678e3580bcaf124ab
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $897.9k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $60.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.745Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.8kat 0.796Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$1.5kat 0.435Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
- +$1.4kat 0.295Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
- +$1.3kat 0.431Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:16 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0121023821 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 08:09 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4059999995 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 08:08 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $150.00 |
| 11-01 07:57 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1 | $350.00 |
| 11-01 07:23 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0115321577 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 02:16 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999997 | $634.00 |
| 10-31 08:09 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011206585 | $20.00 |
| 10-31 08:00 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 07:59 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 07:25 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4123800941 | $300.00 |
| 10-31 07:07 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $160.00 |
| 10-31 04:30 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4111937299 | $162.00 |
| 10-31 03:21 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.14 | $200.00 |
| 10-30 21:49 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4087759741 | $250.00 |
| 10-30 19:28 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $200.00 |