Billy2025
0xd77ba3d17771e8eab33e062678e3580bcaf124ab
- Realised P&L
- $11.4k
- Volume
- $657.1k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $45.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.745Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$1.8kat 0.796Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$1.5kat 0.435Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?
- +$1.4kat 0.295Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
- +$1.3kat 0.431Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:35 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $186.61 |
| 09-15 22:52 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8209462877 | $214.90 |
| 09-09 04:10 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8288753818 | $250.00 |
| 09-08 20:17 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8292179287 | $350.00 |
| 09-05 07:02 | Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8303601202 | $756.80 |
| 08-19 19:38 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5099999992 | $72.50 |
| 08-18 20:15 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $278.94 |
| 08-17 07:16 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0929999998 | $368.17 |
| 08-14 02:41 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.094 | $2.1k |
| 08-12 06:56 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999997 | $500.00 |
| 08-12 05:47 | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7263219059 | $400.00 |
| 08-05 06:45 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6040660004 | $350.00 |
| 07-31 02:12 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.87 | $2.0k |
| 07-21 23:35 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8569999999 | $1000.00 |
| 07-21 06:30 | Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8546228493 | $500.00 |