indication-demo
0xd77888016e55f93893b667f0812a3a1bec033c11
- Realised P&L
- $-241.76
- Volume
- $34.0k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $5.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.63at 0.415Blues vs. Avalanche
- +$35.40at 0.040US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$25.65at 0.710Heat vs. Hornets
- +$14.28at 0.320Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)
- +$3.76at 0.710Mavericks vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 21:43 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.65 |
| 04-12 18:19 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.45 |
| 04-12 17:22 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | SELL | 0.021 | $1.05 |
| 04-12 15:05 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.80 |
| 04-12 14:45 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April? | BUY | 0.05 | $4.89 |
| 04-12 14:38 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.30 |
| 04-12 14:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | SELL | 0.031 | $1.55 |
| 04-12 14:37 | Trump out as President by April 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 04-12 14:37 | Trump out as President by April 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 04-12 14:36 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.65 |
| 04-12 14:36 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | SELL | 0.026 | $1.30 |
| 04-12 14:36 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.10 |
| 04-12 13:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 04-12 13:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | SELL | 0.027 | $2.70 |
| 04-12 13:40 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |