PolyBot

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Traders

indication-demo

0xd77888016e55f93893b667f0812a3a1bec033c11

Realised P&L
$-241.76
Volume
$34.0k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$5.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI announce a necklace-style wearable in 2026? · Yes0.3170.095$5.96$13.94
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will the New York Islanders make the NHL Playoffs? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$7.26
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 end of April? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$0.14
Will Antonio Villaraigosa advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.41
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5 · Over0.3200.000$0.00$32.00
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$0.58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$0.76
Austin FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5 · Over0.1380.000$0.00$34.50
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.80
FK Mladá Boleslav vs. FK Dukla Praha: O/U 4.5 · Over0.0200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 10, 2026? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$1.10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2980.000$0.00$29.83
Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$0.53
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 21:43Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.013$0.65
04-12 18:19Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?BUY0.01$0.45
04-12 17:22Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?SELL0.021$1.05
04-12 15:05Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?BUY0.018$1.80
04-12 14:45Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 end of April?BUY0.05$4.89
04-12 14:38Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?SELL0.026$1.30
04-12 14:37Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?SELL0.031$1.55
04-12 14:37Trump out as President by April 30?SELL0.01$0.50
04-12 14:37Trump out as President by April 30?SELL0.01$0.50
04-12 14:36Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.013$0.65
04-12 14:36Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?SELL0.026$1.30
04-12 14:36Trump out as President by April 30?BUY0.011$1.10
04-12 13:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?BUY0.03$3.00
04-12 13:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?SELL0.027$2.70
04-12 13:40Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?BUY0.03$3.00