DFY
0xd774b949e4afe95808ae5ac05e130f3eca8b82cd
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $110.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,292
- Open portfolio
- $28.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,292
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-05? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.515 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| CF Monterrey vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.330 | 0.325 | $4.92 | −$0.08 |
| FC Dallas vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.390 | 0.380 | $4.87 | −$0.13 |
| Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) · Atlético San Luis | 0.490 | 0.475 | $4.85 | −$0.15 |
| Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5) · Seattle Sounders FC | 0.470 | 0.455 | $4.84 | −$0.16 |
| Los Angeles FC vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.470 | $3.07 | +$0.07 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.460 | 0.055 | $1.37 | −$10.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.32at 0.430Tigers vs. Mariners
- +$100.55at 0.480Ravens vs. Bills
- +$91.09at 0.481Will Cruz Azul win Liga MX?
- +$77.41at 0.580Lions vs. Chiefs
- +$69.30at 0.289Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 18:49 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.4599999944 | $11.49 |
| 08-05 18:10 | Los Angeles FC vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4599999264 | $3.00 |
| 08-05 18:07 | Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:04 | Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-05? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 18:01 | FC Dallas vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 17:58 | Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 17:42 | CF Monterrey vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 18:43 | Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4599999844 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 18:43 | Tigres de la UANL vs. Real Salt Lake: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 18:42 | Minnesota United FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4211557061 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 18:42 | Charlotte FC vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 18:42 | FC Cincinnati vs. CF Pachuca: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.447761176 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 18:42 | Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-08-04? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 02:43 | Los Angeles Dodgers winning after 5 innings? | BUY | 0.4928631483 | $20.40 |
| 08-03 00:59 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.369999979 | $9.00 |