DFY
0xd774b949e4afe95808ae5ac05e130f3eca8b82cd
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $120.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,546
- Open portfolio
- $93.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,546
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Madison vs. San Diego State: O/U 46.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.495 | $10.31 | +$0.31 |
| Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) · Michigan State | 0.510 | 0.525 | $10.29 | +$0.29 |
| Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) · New Mexico | 0.520 | 0.515 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Northwestern (-3.5) · Colorado | 0.510 | 0.505 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Florida (-2.5) · Auburn | 0.510 | 0.505 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Virginia (-10.5) · Virginia | 0.510 | 0.505 | $9.90 | −$0.10 |
| Spread: Texas (-30.5) · Texas | 0.500 | 0.485 | $9.70 | −$0.30 |
| Spread: Louisville (-1.5) · SMU | 0.490 | 0.455 | $9.29 | −$0.71 |
| Spread: Fresno State (-6.5) · Fresno State | 0.490 | 0.455 | $9.29 | −$0.71 |
| Spread: USC (-21.5) · USC | 0.500 | 0.255 | $5.10 | −$4.90 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-52.5) · Kent State | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Arizona State (-5.5) · Kansas | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$125.33at 0.430Tigers vs. Mariners
- +$100.56at 0.480Ravens vs. Bills
- +$90.69at 0.483Will Cruz Azul win Liga MX?
- +$78.47at 0.511Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5
- +$77.41at 0.580Lions vs. Chiefs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 03:58 | Spread: Arizona State (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5099999704 | $6.55 |
| 09-19 03:52 | Spread: Fresno State (-6.5) | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:52 | James Madison vs. San Diego State: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:51 | Spread: Texas (-30.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:50 | Spread: Northwestern (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:50 | Spread: Oklahoma (-21.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:49 | Spread: Notre Dame (-29.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:48 | Spread: Virginia (-10.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:47 | Spread: Florida (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:46 | Spread: Indiana (-44.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:46 | Spread: Louisville (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:45 | Spread: USC (-21.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:44 | Spread: Texas State (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:43 | Spread: Ohio State (-52.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 03:41 | Spread: Arizona State (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |