PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd7718B8cF5E6a9f5F8C38Ced76fF3148a1C3489F-1761149311850

0xd7718b8cf5e6a9f5f8c38ced76ff3148a1c3489f

Realised P&L
$-41.7k
Volume
$278.1k
Markets traded
247
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded247
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6870.825$634.29+$106.09
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9050.993$519.49+$45.87
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7050.053$227.51−$2.8k
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.1840.525$170.05+$110.38
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8300.775$162.60−$11.54
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8560.944$97.78+$9.08
Anthropic acquired before 2027? · No0.8200.982$51.20+$8.45
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat? · Yes0.8600.865$45.05+$0.26
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.5190.013$36.61−$1.4k
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.060$25.16−$96.43
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5280.051$24.75−$231.63
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.2400.075$24.10−$52.50
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2000.049$15.55−$47.94
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.2900.032$13.56−$111.27
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4500.125$13.35−$34.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 16:26Raiders Team Total: O/U 20.5BUY0.37$188.60
07-21 09:56Will FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?BUY0.75$1.2k
07-21 09:23Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?BUY0.74$1.2k
07-19 14:19Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5399999995$500.00
07-17 14:26LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.4092283951$132.59
07-17 13:20LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.83$645.18
07-17 11:34LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.9099999999$400.00
07-17 11:23LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.9033513939$1.5k
07-17 10:38LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.66$1.7k
07-16 14:20Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin HalysBUY0.677$546.34
07-16 13:37Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin HalysBUY0.675$1.2k
07-16 08:52Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea PellegrinoBUY0.72$2.1k
07-16 08:25Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin TiranteBUY0.69$1.8k
07-15 15:33England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersBUY0.6799999995$300.00
07-15 11:53Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalBUY0.7$1.2k