PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd7718B8cF5E6a9f5F8C38Ced76fF3148a1C3489F-1761149311850

0xd7718b8cf5e6a9f5f8c38ced76ff3148a1c3489f

Realised P&L
$-42.2k
Volume
$277.9k
Markets traded
246
Open portfolio
$5.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-15.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded246
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7050.545$2.3k$682.38
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.5190.280$788.53$672.29
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.6870.750$576.63+$48.43
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9050.978$511.64+$38.02
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8300.895$187.78+$13.64
Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? · Yes0.5461.000$182.08+$82.59
Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.2900.205$88.24$36.59
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.8560.850$88.04$0.66
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · No0.1840.240$77.74+$18.07
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2900.125$52.41$69.18
Anthropic acquired before 2027? · No0.8200.970$50.55+$7.80
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat? · Yes0.8600.920$47.91+$3.12
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · Yes0.1590.143$44.52$5.11
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? · Yes0.2400.101$32.08$44.52
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5280.065$31.54$224.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 09:56Will FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?BUY0.75$1.2k
07-21 09:23Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw?BUY0.74$1.2k
07-19 14:19Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.5399999995$500.00
07-17 14:26LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.4092283951$132.59
07-17 13:20LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.83$645.18
07-17 11:34LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.9099999999$400.00
07-17 11:23LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.9033513939$1.5k
07-17 10:38LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.66$1.7k
07-16 14:20Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin HalysBUY0.677$546.34
07-16 13:37Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin HalysBUY0.675$1.2k
07-16 08:52Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea PellegrinoBUY0.72$2.1k
07-16 08:25Swedish Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Thiago Agustin TiranteBUY0.69$1.8k
07-15 15:33England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersBUY0.6799999995$300.00
07-15 11:53Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalBUY0.7$1.2k
07-15 11:21Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Grigor DimitrovBUY0.66$1.5k