0xd76169bc366e42aA885f317AB24b9a7a58D283dB-1760890840528
0xd76169bc366e42aa885f317ab24b9a7a58d283db
- Realised P&L
- $-13.77
- Volume
- $344.57
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $13.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.87at 0.692Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
- +$3.00at 0.500XRP Up or Down on October 26?
- +$2.13at 0.320Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October?
- +$1.70at 0.540XRP Up or Down - October 25, 10AM ET
- +$1.33at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:39 | Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999653 | $4.04 |
| 10-11 16:27 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.1189999992 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 15:34 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1289999995 | $8.97 |
| 10-06 15:25 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.201 | $0.69 |
| 11-19 07:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 19? | BUY | 0.5339998014 | $1.00 |
| 11-19 07:46 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999286 | $2.00 |
| 11-13 09:37 | Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.28 |
| 11-11 01:55 | Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 11-11 01:55 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 11-11 01:51 | Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 11-11 01:50 | Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 11-07 20:56 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 11-07 20:54 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 11-07 20:54 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 11-07 20:53 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |