PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd76169bc366e42aA885f317AB24b9a7a58D283dB-1760890840528

0xd76169bc366e42aa885f317ab24b9a7a58d283db

Realised P&L
$-13.77
Volume
$344.57
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$13.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1290.141$9.77+$0.80
Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7000.665$3.84−$0.20
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.8600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.5940.000$0.00−$5.00
Will “The Witcher: Season 4” be the top global Netflix show this week? (November 4 2025) · Yes0.8700.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET · Up0.4800.000$0.00−$2.00
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10AM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? · No0.1190.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET · Down0.8600.000$0.00−$6.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 19? · Yes0.5340.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 16:39Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6999999653$4.04
10-11 16:27Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?BUY0.1189999992$5.00
10-06 15:34Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1289999995$8.97
10-06 15:25Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.201$0.69
11-19 07:50Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 19?BUY0.5339998014$1.00
11-19 07:46Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
11-13 09:37Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?SELL0.05$0.28
11-11 01:55Will Trump say "Thank you" 10+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?BUY0.54$1.00
11-11 01:55Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 12+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18?BUY0.75$1.00
11-11 01:51Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
11-11 01:50Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
11-07 20:56Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.719999856$1.00
11-07 20:54Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.54$1.00
11-07 20:54Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.55$1.00
11-07 20:53Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.55$1.00