PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bgEbCREnvq

0xd758a9523eef55005738b778ab917ba8a8a6b0ec

Realised P&L
$-11.20
Volume
$50.0k
Markets traded
362
Open portfolio
$37.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded362
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 24? · No0.6970.680$22.43$0.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 24? · No0.6660.600$9.09$1.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 23? · No0.5900.435$4.35$1.55
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23? · Yes0.0930.035$0.74$1.22
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 23? · Yes0.0320.010$0.22$0.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 23? · Yes0.0150.013$0.19$0.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 24? · Yes0.0300.040$0.18+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 22? · No0.1170.001$0.05$11.82
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 22? · Yes0.0150.001$0.03$0.80
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 23? · Yes0.0190.002$0.02$0.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or higher on September 22? · Yes0.0280.001$0.02$1.15
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 23? · Yes0.0130.001$0.02$0.39
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 22? · Yes0.0180.001$0.01$0.44
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 22? · Yes0.0270.001$0.01$0.30
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 23? · Yes0.0100.001$0.01$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 06:16Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?BUY0.71$6.84
09-17 14:21Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17?SELL0.99$11.87
09-17 14:21Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17?SELL0.99$11.87
09-14 12:21Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14?SELL0.99$10.11
09-14 12:21Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14?SELL0.99$12.38
09-14 12:21Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14?SELL0.99$12.38
09-12 12:10Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 12?BUY0.45$2.94
09-12 09:10Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14?BUY0.67$6.70
09-07 13:21Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7?SELL0.99$8.76
09-07 13:21Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7?SELL0.99$11.33
09-01 16:21Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?SELL0.99$10.69
09-01 16:21Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?SELL0.99$12.43
09-01 16:21Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?SELL0.99$12.43
08-31 13:21Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 31?SELL0.99$5.44
08-31 13:21Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 31?SELL0.99$12.00