bgEbCREnvq
0xd758a9523eef55005738b778ab917ba8a8a6b0ec
- Realised P&L
- $-11.20
- Volume
- $50.0k
- Markets traded
- 362
- Open portfolio
- $37.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded362
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.34at 0.088Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?
- +$28.56at 0.645Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11?
- +$28.37at 0.074Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on August 28?
- +$25.76at 0.507Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?
- +$24.06at 0.664Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.71 | $6.84 |
| 09-17 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.87 |
| 09-17 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.87 |
| 09-14 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.99 | $10.11 |
| 09-14 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.99 | $12.38 |
| 09-14 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.99 | $12.38 |
| 09-12 12:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.45 | $2.94 |
| 09-12 09:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-07 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.99 | $8.76 |
| 09-07 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.99 | $11.33 |
| 09-01 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $10.69 |
| 09-01 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $12.43 |
| 09-01 16:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1? | SELL | 0.99 | $12.43 |
| 08-31 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.44 |
| 08-31 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.99 | $12.00 |