PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Lysanderfrost

0xd75147f6c204ded082497f29abf7514c55452ab3

Realised P&L
$-5.0k
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$22.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-48.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Arman Tsarukyan0.7400.745$9.06+$0.06
UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) · Dooho Choi0.7100.695$7.17$0.15
UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims) · Casey O'Neill0.6400.645$6.39+$0.05
Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Nets0.5260.000$0.00$18.46
Spread: Warriors (-5.5) · Magic0.5000.000$0.00$5.0k
Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 15) · No0.4000.000$0.00$5.00
Spread: Magic (-15.5) · Magic0.4900.000$0.00$4.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 06:45UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims)BUY0.64$6.34
09-15 06:45UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.7099999825$7.32
09-15 06:45UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.7399999885$9.00
07-14 11:05Kitzbuehel: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Kathinka von DeichmannBUY0.7299999942$30.00
06-10 11:19Iran coup attempt by June 30?BUY0.9679999985$15.00
05-29 08:11Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?BUY0.9509999599$20.00
05-29 08:10Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.3089999839$10.00
04-09 12:19Spread: Pacers (-3.5)BUY0.5$17.27
03-26 14:07Spread: Magic (-15.5)BUY0.49$4.90
03-10 12:33Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?BUY0.9829999181$5.74
03-10 12:33Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 15)BUY0.4$5.00
03-10 12:32Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 10?BUY0.9929999996$10.00
03-10 12:31Will Google reach $375 in March?BUY0.998$4.00
03-10 12:30US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?BUY0.8499998194$4.00
03-10 12:28Will Iran strike Jordan in March?BUY0.7799999766$4.00