Lysanderfrost
0xd75147f6c204ded082497f29abf7514c55452ab3
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $22.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-48.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Arman Tsarukyan | 0.740 | 0.745 | $9.06 | +$0.06 |
| UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) · Dooho Choi | 0.710 | 0.695 | $7.17 | −$0.15 |
| UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims) · Casey O'Neill | 0.640 | 0.645 | $6.39 | +$0.05 |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) · Nets | 0.526 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.46 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) · Magic | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.0k |
| Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 15) · No | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Magic (-15.5) · Magic | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.16at 0.315Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$10.69at 0.740Kitzbuehel: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Kathinka von Deichmann
- +$2.72at 0.720Grizzlies vs. Warriors
- +$1.33at 0.790Bucks vs. Magic
- +$1.13at 0.780Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 06:45 | UFC 331: Casey O'Neill vs. Eduarda Moura (Women's Flyweight, Early Prelims) | BUY | 0.64 | $6.34 |
| 09-15 06:45 | UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7099999825 | $7.32 |
| 09-15 06:45 | UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7399999885 | $9.00 |
| 07-14 11:05 | Kitzbuehel: Maria Lourdes Carle vs Kathinka von Deichmann | BUY | 0.7299999942 | $30.00 |
| 06-10 11:19 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.9679999985 | $15.00 |
| 05-29 08:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? | BUY | 0.9509999599 | $20.00 |
| 05-29 08:10 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3089999839 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 12:19 | Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $17.27 |
| 03-26 14:07 | Spread: Magic (-15.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 03-10 12:33 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31? | BUY | 0.9829999181 | $5.74 |
| 03-10 12:33 | Will Trump say "Autopen" this week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 03-10 12:32 | Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 10? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 12:31 | Will Google reach $375 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.00 |
| 03-10 12:30 | US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15? | BUY | 0.8499998194 | $4.00 |
| 03-10 12:28 | Will Iran strike Jordan in March? | BUY | 0.7799999766 | $4.00 |