ckcleans
0xd74bc9d7970f0442cf065ff39f572374486d3cad
- Realised P&L
- $-22.51
- Volume
- $600.30
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $11.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.280 | $11.20 | +$0.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Up | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.27at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
- +$2.22at 0.268Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$0.53at 0.767Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$0.10at 0.981Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
- +$0.03at 0.995Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 14:14 | GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.40 |
| 09-02 20:39 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-02 18:54 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.94 |
| 09-02 17:28 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $1.44 |
| 09-02 17:27 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.032 | $0.64 |
| 09-02 17:22 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-02 17:20 | Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.10 |
| 09-02 15:36 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $0.34 |
| 09-02 06:47 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599998765 | $5.66 |
| 08-31 16:37 | Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.69 |
| 08-31 16:29 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 06:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 07:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-17 07:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 07-17 07:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |