0xd74A15B1bD2c7B1D87018A1fC3DA2e5eE0218E19-1761670409592
0xd74a15b1bd2c7b1d87018a1fc3da2e5ee0218e19
- Realised P&L
- $-23.65
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $12.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.25at 0.160Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$12.42at 0.280Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
- +$11.13at 0.310US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$10.82at 0.310US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$5.42at 0.480Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 17:50 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 17:49 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $1.10 |
| 07-19 17:49 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.029 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 17:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 17:48 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 10:20 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 10:19 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2489998289 | $1.00 |
| 05-01 11:27 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.054 | $4.09 |
| 05-01 11:27 | Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $0.96 |
| 05-01 11:27 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.93 | $1.01 |
| 05-01 11:26 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.208 | $1.59 |
| 04-26 14:17 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 07:44 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0749999325 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 07:11 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 07:10 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1309998997 | $1.00 |