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Traders

0xd74A15B1bD2c7B1D87018A1fC3DA2e5eE0218E19-1761670409592

0xd74a15b1bd2c7b1d87018a1fc3da2e5ee0218e19

Realised P&L
$-23.65
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$12.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? · Yes0.5000.799$8.00+$3.00
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No0.4800.085$0.89$4.11
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · Yes0.4200.300$0.71$0.29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2800.184$0.66$0.34
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2900.034$0.59$4.41
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0750.040$0.53$0.47
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3900.155$0.40$0.60
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.038$0.32$0.68
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2100.060$0.29$0.71
Will Gwendolyn Beck be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? · Yes0.6000.093$0.16$0.84
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2490.000$0.00$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$4.90
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 17:50Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.08$1.00
07-19 17:49Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.63$1.10
07-19 17:49Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.029$4.00
07-19 17:48Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
07-19 17:48Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899998466$1.00
05-26 10:20Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.4599997608$1.00
05-26 10:19Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.2489998289$1.00
05-01 11:27Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.054$4.09
05-01 11:27Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?SELL0.72$0.96
05-01 11:27Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.93$1.01
05-01 11:26Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.208$1.59
04-26 14:17Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
04-26 07:44Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0749999325$1.00
04-25 07:11Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
04-25 07:10Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.1309998997$1.00