PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lijuan

0xd7450aa68eb507a421d6d03b356c382069d5e464

Realised P&L
$-508.87
Volume
$120.2k
Markets traded
388
Open portfolio
$99.95

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded388
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 8? · Yes0.9801.000$99.95+$1.95
Will the Conservative Party win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$13.99
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5110.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2450.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$5.80
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · No0.6870.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No0.7020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No0.8290.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 13? · No0.9050.000$0.00−$90.50
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? · No0.8000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9200.000$0.00−$1.01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$5.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 8?BUY0.98$98.00
10-07 06:35Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 7?BUY0.963$100.25
10-05 05:46Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5?BUY0.9304497054$90.00
10-05 03:11Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5?BUY0.4$5.60
10-01 08:15Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.78$7.80
10-01 07:05Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?BUY0.95$42.75
10-01 07:05Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?BUY0.94$9.39
10-01 07:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 1?BUY0.979$13.59
10-01 07:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 1?BUY0.97$34.19
09-26 08:29Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26?BUY0.99$99.00
09-25 14:12Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.88$8.80
09-17 06:19Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17?BUY0.27$2.16
09-17 06:17Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17?BUY0.98$196.00
09-16 06:06Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.36$2.88
09-16 06:05Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16?BUY0.99$198.00