lijuan
0xd7450aa68eb507a421d6d03b356c382069d5e464
- Realised P&L
- $-508.87
- Volume
- $120.2k
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $99.95
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$498.81at 0.044Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?
- +$9.24at 0.929Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 28?
- +$9.04at 0.961Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 27?
- +$8.00at 0.989Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?
- +$6.76at 0.932Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 10-07 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.963 | $100.25 |
| 10-05 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.9304497054 | $90.00 |
| 10-05 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.60 |
| 10-01 08:15 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.80 |
| 10-01 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.95 | $42.75 |
| 10-01 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.39 |
| 10-01 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.979 | $13.59 |
| 10-01 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $34.19 |
| 09-26 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-25 14:12 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 09-17 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.16 |
| 09-17 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.98 | $196.00 |
| 09-16 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.88 |
| 09-16 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |