0xd73D3f5767731ea8A3d59eD2aA47c3a3F3689D3C-1788361279881
0xd73d3f5767731ea8a3d59ed2aa47c3a3f3689d3c
- Realised P&L
- $-117.46
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $100.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.705 | $100.82 | +$5.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.12at 0.310Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$72.76at 0.600Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
- +$-107.04at 0.759NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$-168.30at 0.830Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $42.57 |
| 09-29 17:30 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $2.0k |
| 09-04 22:18 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7586899633 | $1.6k |
| 09-04 21:46 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $81.77 |
| 09-04 21:13 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.15 |
| 09-04 21:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3311510843 | $92.23 |
| 09-04 21:03 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3500269254 | $692.89 |
| 09-04 20:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999997 | $700.00 |
| 09-04 20:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6901661668 | $830.69 |
| 09-03 14:24 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $502.99 |
| 09-03 09:07 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999999 | $899.00 |
| 09-03 09:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |