PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

-gg-

0xd73bbae843ad9d66801a43044a8fdcce00a26b37

Realised P&L
$-73.25
Volume
$55.4k
Markets traded
478
Open portfolio
$50.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded478
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2490.059$29.24$95.44
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.0230.019$5.85$1.05
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6600.495$4.95$1.65
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.2100.065$3.25$7.25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.1300.055$2.75$3.75
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4000.085$1.70$6.30
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2400.125$1.25$1.15
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1060.002$1.13$78.87
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0550.004$0.73$10.81
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 April 20-26? · Yes0.3530.000$0.00$33.25
Hurricanes vs. Flyers · Flyers0.3900.000$0.00$7.80
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April? · Yes0.2990.000$0.00$27.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$13.00
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) · Timberwolves0.5260.000$0.00$10.37
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00$8.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 01:27Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.033$22.77
06-21 21:49Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.039$60.26
06-21 20:09Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.24$6.00
06-21 20:09Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.16$11.20
06-21 20:08Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?BUY0.22$5.50
06-21 20:08Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.1$11.00
06-21 20:07Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY0.28$5.60
06-21 20:07Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.64$25.60
06-20 22:36Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.67$13.40
06-20 22:35Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.23$6.90
06-20 22:33Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)BUY0.61$6.10
06-20 22:32Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY0.11$5.50
06-20 19:59Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY0.2$10.00
06-20 19:59Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.66$19.80
06-15 20:19Spread: Egypt (-1.5)BUY0.16$6.40