dffc
0xd7388980a5c9a06b067116351ff00053db39d07e
- Realised P&L
- $333.54
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $2.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.00at 0.240Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
- +$116.71at 0.494Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
- +$86.00at 0.140Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$69.50at 0.652Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?
- +$62.00at 0.752Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 18:48 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 08-12 18:48 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 06-29 10:25 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.80 |
| 06-18 21:27 | Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 06-17 18:38 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 16:32 | Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4099999959 | $30.00 |
| 06-14 21:50 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.5899999992 | $30.00 |
| 06-14 19:37 | Netherlands vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5 Corners | BUY | 0.7766487606 | $30.00 |
| 06-14 19:37 | Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5499999972 | $30.00 |
| 06-05 14:46 | Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.73 | $7.30 |
| 06-05 14:36 | Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.79 | $23.70 |
| 06-05 14:34 | Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 06-05 14:33 | Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 05-11 22:11 | Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.728 | $21.84 |
| 05-11 14:55 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.748272 | $37.41 |