x1000x
0xd733d2b4d306c6c9121214d9e62ddb0645dd0dde
- Realised P&L
- $-411.38
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $201.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.145 | 0.145 | $185.74 | +$0.24 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.056 | $15.62 | −$3.90 |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Uruguay leading at halftime? · No | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.17 |
| Canada to score first vs. South Africa? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.75 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.818 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.20 |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance · Netherlands | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.50 |
| Senegal leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5) · Curaçao | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.303 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.51 |
| Australia to score first vs. Egypt? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Spread: Egypt (-1.5) · Egypt | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.25 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.46at 0.450Mets vs. Nationals
- +$60.95at 0.417Spread: Argentina (-1.5)
- +$36.76at 0.440Will Serbia win on 2025-10-11?
- +$35.22at 0.460Bucks vs. Hawks
- +$32.46at 0.397Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 23:47 | Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.1899999927 | $18.25 |
| 07-03 13:15 | Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3 | $13.20 |
| 07-03 13:14 | Omar Marmoush: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2299999338 | $2.50 |
| 07-03 13:13 | Australia to score first vs. Egypt? | BUY | 0.3799999706 | $7.50 |
| 07-03 13:12 | Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1799999935 | $18.25 |
| 07-03 13:11 | Will Australia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.2699999827 | $10.33 |
| 07-03 10:53 | Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.3099999729 | $7.31 |
| 07-03 10:52 | Spread: Egypt (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1799999895 | $12.00 |
| 07-01 18:39 | Belgium leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.3499999881 | $11.80 |
| 07-01 18:38 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4599999954 | $18.00 |
| 07-01 18:18 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.4599999958 | $10.96 |
| 07-01 18:17 | Belgium leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.3599999863 | $10.50 |
| 06-30 14:37 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.4099999583 | $5.70 |
| 06-30 14:36 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.50 |
| 06-30 14:34 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4199999914 | $8.80 |