Frayzer22
0xd72faaeae18503ad3a958ce84f40224028d169f3
- Realised P&L
- $-820.76
- Volume
- $90.7k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $151.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.203 | 0.115 | $80.72 | −$61.79 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.161 | $20.17 | +$5.59 |
| Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.190 | 0.205 | $16.89 | +$1.24 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.431 | 0.029 | $13.44 | −$186.56 |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.076 | $9.91 | +$3.91 |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.021 | $4.99 | −$4.01 |
| Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.040 | $4.15 | −$2.85 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.002 | $1.21 | −$28.79 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$512.34at 0.360Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$264.50at 0.190Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$166.23at 0.440Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$160.31at 0.246 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$136.13at 0.669Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 09:56 | Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0459999999 | $6.00 |
| 10-04 12:18 | Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0666193181 | $7.00 |
| 10-04 12:16 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.18 | $40.50 |
| 10-04 11:51 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1159999992 | $14.58 |
| 10-04 11:51 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0369999999 | $9.00 |
| 10-04 11:31 | Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.1899999978 | $15.65 |
| 10-04 11:28 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.035 | $1.69 |
| 10-04 11:28 | Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.105 | $15.01 |
| 09-13 13:39 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1039999997 | $28.53 |
| 06-27 11:52 | Call of Duty: Paris Gentle Mates vs Miami Heretics - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6299999961 | $38.56 |
| 06-27 11:51 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.18 | $40.39 |
| 05-18 20:43 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2138976428 | $150.00 |
| 04-30 10:15 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 04-30 09:46 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |
| 04-23 18:10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $13.02 |